The S&P 500 increased 7% in June, after dropping nearly the same amount in May. A spectacular turnaround driven by yet more easy money signals from the Fed. It sure is nice, if a bit excessive given the US is near full employment and inflation looks fine. As it stands now, the S&P 500 is up 18.5% through June.
The S&P 500 fell 6.6% May, after topping out at an all-time high on April 30. It was up ~25% off the December 2018 lows, and 17% year to date at the high. In particular, the US economy and corporate earnings were beginning to slow. This became apparent during May as several economic indicators and economists’ models began to show the deceleration. As usual, the bond market was the first to sniff out the problem.